Thu 03/11/2016 - 11:46 EDT

Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile Picks

Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile Picks
In a true clash of eight-furlong heavyweights, the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile features a field of nine led by the favorite Dortmund and last year's Breeders' Cup Sprint Champion Runhappy in a race where just about anything can happen November 4 at Santa Anita.

Breeders’ Cup Mile Picks 2016

While the structure of the race couldn’t appear more simple on paper, handicappers are well aware that races aren’t run on paper. 2015 BC Sprint Champion Runhappy (3/1) figures to snag the early lead and would certainly be a meance if able to return to his 2015 form, but that seems anything but certain after the champ faded badly October 1 in his only start this year. Now he’ll try two turns for the first time and face the likes of Dortmund (6/5), who is 5 for 6 in his career over the Santa Anita dirt and has run very well in three starts this year. In fact, Dortmund, a massive four-year trained by Bob Baffert, appears to be at his very best runnning shorter and will get the opportunity to do just that after running at 1 1/8-miles and 1 1/4-miles in his last two starts. 

  • 1st: (#3) Dortmund
  • 2nd: (#9) Gun Runner
  • 3rd: (#1) Vyjack
  • 4th:  (#8) Tamarkuz  

Playing against second-favorite could be profitable

Runhappy will surely take an ample share of the wagering dollars, but there is legitimate pause of concern that this four year-old isn’t close to the same horse he was while earning Sprinter of the Year honors in 2015. The comeback race was bad, the workouts haven’t been encouraging, and the fact that he’s now going around two turns isn’t at all encouraging. If ever there were a short-priced throwout, it appears to be Runhappy in the BC Mile. If the champ can somehow rise back into his former self, he’s capable of taking this bunch a long way on the front end, but conventional handicapping angles suggest that he’s really up against it in this spot.

Longer shots on board can crash exotics

Gun Runner (9/2) has hit the board in 8 of 10 career starts for trainer Steve Asmussen and looks like the kind of colt who prefers the one-mile distance despite the face that he was able to run third in the Kentucky Derby and Travers Stakes – both Grade 1 events at a mile and a quarter. With an outside post (9) and regular jockey Florent Geroux aboard, Gun Runner is a very logical pick to run late and pick up a the pieces for second or third. Vyjack (10/1) is a veteran runner in career-best form after setting a track record last out going eight furlongs on turf. This is a logical spot for him, and he should be right around the wire once again.

Category : Betting Picks

Join The Conversation
More articles...
Betting Picks - 23/11/17
Sports Interaction Rooting France To Win The Davis Cup 
The 'world cup of tennis' has reached it's final round and it's neighbours France and Belgium who will be contesting the Davis Cup Final in 2017. We take a look at both sides and provide all the top betting picks for this matchup.
Read this article 
Betting Picks - 23/11/17
Chicaco Cubs MLB Futures 2018 Opening Lines 
Recently unseated as defending World Series champions, the Chicago Cubs had a fairly lackluster 2017, but still managed a respectable postseason run. Unfortunately, 2018 looks to be even more uncertain, as they might lose some starters to free agency. Are they worth their opening futures price?
Read this article 
Betting Picks - 23/11/17
Washington Nationals MLB Futures 2018 Opening Lines 
Always a threat in the National League, the Washington Nationals will be our focus today. Next season will be the teams' 50th, going back to their Montreal Expo days, but are they in for a golden anniversary gift in the form of the Commissioner's Trophy? We'll take a look at the Nats' chances in 2018 behind new manager Dave Martinez.
Read this article 
Betting Picks - 23/11/17
Raptors Report! Five Best Players So Far This Season 
With a fifth of the NBA season completed, we highlight the five best Toronto Raptors players so far. Criteria aren't just based on statistics although Player Efficiency Rating (PER), offensive and defense rating, and per 36 minutes stats are heavily considered. The impact of these players is the X-factor and how better they are performing compared to expectations. We look at which Raptors are killing it right now.
Read this article