Matthew Manouli |  Mon 17/07/2017 - 08:28 EDT

2017 MLB Trade Deadline Betting Cheat Sheet

2017 MLB Trade Deadline Betting Cheat Sheet
Welcome to the 2nd half of the MLB season! We'll be taking a change of pace as the season gears back up, and will be looking at trades as the July 31st deadline approaches. Who's buying? Who's selling? And, most importantly for us, what are the chances going forward? Let's get into it!

MLB Trade Strategy

With the All-Star break comes a better idea of which teams will become buyers and become serious contenders, and those teams who will go into sale mode and supply buyers with missing pieces in exchange for future growth.

Teams also trade certain players who haven’t been performing up to par. So what’s already taken place? In a South Side-North Side deal, the Chicago White Sox dealt left-handed pitcher Jose Quintana (4-8, 4.49 ERA) to the Chicago Cubs in exchange for 4 position playing prospects: Dylan Cease, Bryant Flete, Eloy Jimenez, and Matt Rose. This was done to shake up their starting rotation, which statistically hasn’t fared as well as it did during their World Series season in 2016. 

Also of note, 44 year old Bartolo Colon (2-8, 8.14 ERA) was traded to the Minnesota Twins, after a lackluster season with the Atlanta Braves. In his first game for Rochester in AAA, he got shelled for 4 runs on 4 hits, and already carries a 9.82 ERA. 

Another interesting trade sees the New York Yankees acquiring 1B Garrett Cooper from the Milwaukee Brewers in exchange for reliever Tyler Webb. The Yankees are making a push in the division and with all their first base problems this season, this trade could be beneficial.

The Brewers are also in good shape, and Webb has been an excellent pitcher in the minors, despite struggling a bit during his Yankees games. 

Who’s Next?

With the finished trades out of the way, it’s time to look at potential moves. Our North Side and South Side Chicago teams still aren’t done shaking things up.

Even with the Cubs acquiring Quintana, they are still reportedly going after Oakland Athletics right-handed starter Sonny Gray. This is likely to replace current starters Jake Arrieta and John Lackey who will become free agents at the end of the season. There’s been interest in Gray from the Astros and Brewers as well. The White Sox aren’t through selling either, as Melky Cabrera and Todd Frazier are reportedly being shopped around. 

The Baltimore Orioles are outside of the playoff picture at the moment, so it’s natural there have been reports that they have been shopping Zach Britton. Surprisingly, the Los Angeles Dodgers, who have a solid pitching staff all around seem to be asking about the right-hander. He’ll most likely be used as setup relief before their closer. 

The Texas Rangers are hovering around .500 and are third in their division, but still have a shot at the Wild Card spot. They are reportedly listening to offers for starters Yu Darvish and Cole Hamels. Darvish is a free agent at the end of the season though. As for Hamels, his no-trade clause includes 20 teams, plus with his $23.5 M cost in 2018 and $20 M club option in 2019, he’ll be a tough sell.

Pablo Sandoval was DFA by the Red Sox as well, and are hearing potential offers for him. The club has decided to pay the $48.66 M left on his deal. The 3B could end up back at San Francisco, surprisingly enough, as he played some of his best baseball there. The Giants also have nothing to lose. San Diego might also pick up Kung Fu Panda as they’re in dire need of a man at 3B.

As for your Toronto Blue Jays, we’ve all seen how their season is going. After a rough start, they will be looking to sign off some impending free agents like Francisco Liriano and Marco Estrada. The season’s not completely over yet, as they’re only 5 games out of a Wild Card spot, and should be due for a second half run, which could bring them close enough that anything would be possible.

Trade Effects

So how are these trades and trade rumors going to affect odds going forward? We didn’t touch on a lot of teams, but for example, if the Nationals acquire a couple of decent relief pitchers, they’ll have a great well rounded roster. The NL West is the division to look at though, with the D-Backs, Rockies, and Dodgers all vying for top spot. It’s LA’s deep pockets which could dictate the rest of the season though. The Marlins are reportedly keeping most of their big name players. 

My prediction is that the Cubs will have a lot of value going forward… if we fade them. They are still World Champs, and with their new pitching acquisitions (potentially), they’ll be overvalued for sure. Advanced stats show their faltering this season isn’t mainly because of their starters, it’s because of the defense behind them. Last season, their defense was some of the best in the league, and that inflated people’s perception of their starting pitchers.

This year, the Cubs’ defense isn’t as good, and that is the problem, not the pitching, so fixing the wrong area won’t help the team, but people will think they are all fixed up now. Unless they find a way to fix their defense, fade the Cubs, who will surely be overvalued. Be sure to get to Sports Interaction because second half action is already underway!

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Away Score Home Money Line
Monday 24 July
FT Chicago White Sox 3 - 1 Chicago Cubs +240 -256 Odds
FT Houston Astros 13 - 4 Phillies -156 +135 Odds
FT Oakland Athletics 2 - 4 Toronto Blue Jays +154 -161 Odds
FT Baltimore Orioles 5 - 0 Tampa Bay Rays -105 +103 Odds
AEI Kansas City Royals 5 - 3 Detroit Tigers +128 -135 Odds
FT Cincinnati Reds 2 - 6 Cleveland Indians +173 -182 Odds
FT Miami Marlins 4 - 0 Texas Rangers +125 -147 Odds
FT Colorado Rockies 2 - 8 St. Louis Cardinals +132 -135 Odds
FT Atlanta Braves 2 - 10 Diamondbacks +200 -208 Odds
FT Boston Red Sox 0 - 4 Seattle Mariners +145 -147 Odds
FT Minnesota Twins 4 - 6 Los Angeles Dodgers +245 -263 Odds
FT New York Mets 5 - 3 San Diego Padres -149 +140 Odds
FT Pittsburgh Pirates 10 - 3 Giants +110 +140 Odds
Tuesday 25 July
FT Chicago White Sox 2 - 7 Chicago Cubs +190 -204 Odds
FT Milwaukee Brewers 8 - 0 Montreal Expos +120 -125 Odds
FT Cincinnati Reds 2 - 4 New York Yankees +151 -154 Odds
FT Houston Astros 5 - 0 Phillies -152 +130 Odds
FT Oakland Athletics 1 - 4 Toronto Blue Jays +105 -108 Odds
FT Baltimore Orioles 4 - 5 Tampa Bay Rays +109 -116 Odds
AEI Los Angeles Angels 7 - 11 Cleveland Indians +151 -161 Odds
FT Kansas City Royals 3 - 1 Detroit Tigers +115 -119 Odds
FT Miami Marlins 4 - 10 Texas Rangers +138 -145 Odds
FT Colorado Rockies 2 - 3 St. Louis Cardinals +105 -125 Odds
FT Atlanta Braves 8 - 3 Diamondbacks +141 -145 Odds
FT Minnesota Twins 2 - 6 Los Angeles Dodgers +185 -175 Odds
AEI Boston Red Sox 5 - 6 Seattle Mariners -108 +100 Odds
FT New York Mets 6 - 5 San Diego Padres -105 +123 Odds
FT Pittsburgh Pirates 3 - 11 Giants +110 -111 Odds
Wednesday 26 July
FT Baltimore Orioles 1 - 5 Tampa Bay Rays +137 -145 Odds
FT Cincinnati Reds 5 - 9 New York Yankees +223 -222 Odds
FT Boston Red Sox 4 - 0 Seattle Mariners -200 +170 Odds
FT Atlanta Braves 3 - 10 Diamondbacks +184 -196 Odds
FT Pittsburgh Pirates 1 - 2 Giants +138 -145 Odds
FT Houston Astros 0 - 9 Phillies -102 -104 Odds
FT Milwaukee Brewers 5 - 8 Montreal Expos +117 -125 Odds
FT Oakland Athletics 2 - 3 Toronto Blue Jays Odds
FT Los Angeles Angels 4 - 10 Cleveland Indians +185 -227 Odds
FT Kansas City Royals 16 - 2 Detroit Tigers +109 -119 Odds
FT Miami Marlins 22 - 10 Texas Rangers +200 -208 Odds
FT Chicago Cubs 8 - 3 Chicago White Sox -263 +248 Odds
FT Colorado Rockies 5 - 10 St. Louis Cardinals +164 -164 Odds
FT Minnesota Twins 5 - 6 Los Angeles Dodgers +219 -227 Odds
FT New York Mets 3 - 6 San Diego Padres -123 +104 Odds
Thursday 27 July
FT Milwaukee Brewers 2 - 15 Montreal Expos +260 -263 Odds
FT Los Angeles Angels 1 - 2 Cleveland Indians +140 -145 Odds
AEI Oakland Athletics 4 - 8 Toronto Blue Jays +174 -179 Odds
AEI Tampa Bay Rays 5 - 6 New York Yankees +110 -132 Odds
FT Cincinnati Reds 1 - 4 Miami Marlins +120 -128 Odds
FT Diamondbacks 4 - 0 St. Louis Cardinals -120 +100 Odds
FT Chicago Cubs 6 - 3 Chicago White Sox -256 +240 Odds
FT New York Mets 5 - 7 San Diego Padres +102 -112 Odds
Friday 28 July
FT Atlanta Braves 3 - 10 Phillies -152 +130
FT Tampa Bay Rays 1 - 6 New York Yankees +180 -182
Ppd Colorado Rockies 19:05 Montreal Expos +130 -137 Odds
FT Los Angeles Angels 7 - 2 Toronto Blue Jays +135 -141
FT Cincinnati Reds 4 - 7 Miami Marlins +110 -116
FT Houston Astros 6 - 5 Detroit Tigers -152 +148
FT Kansas City Royals 4 - 2 Boston Red Sox +150 -161
FT Baltimore Orioles 2 - 8 Texas Rangers +126 -135
FT Cleveland Indians 9 - 3 Chicago White Sox -238 +230
FT Chicago Cubs 1 - 2 Milwaukee Brewers -133 +128
FT Diamondbacks 0 - 1 St. Louis Cardinals +120 -125
FT Minnesota Twins 6 - 3 Oakland Athletics -105 -102
FT Giants 4 - 6 Los Angeles Dodgers
FT New York Mets 7 - 5 Seattle Mariners +152 -154
FT Pittsburgh Pirates 2 - 3 San Diego Padres -105 +150
Saturday 29 July
FT Tampa Bay Rays 4 - 5 New York Yankees +150 -156
FT Los Angeles Angels 6 - 5 Toronto Blue Jays +106 -115
FT Giants 1 - 2 Los Angeles Dodgers +275 -303
FT New York Mets 2 - 3 Seattle Mariners -123 +115
FT Houston Astros 3 - 5 Detroit Tigers -116 +106
FT Colorado Rockies 4 - 2 Montreal Expos +132 -141
AEI Atlanta Braves 3 - 4 Phillies -102 -105
AEI Kansas City Royals 8 - 9 Boston Red Sox +130 -152
FT Cleveland Indians 5 - 4 Chicago White Sox -294 +275
FT Cincinnati Reds 3 - 7 Miami Marlins +128 -137
AEI Chicago Cubs 2 - 1 Milwaukee Brewers -172 +165
FT Diamondbacks 7 - 1 St. Louis Cardinals -112 +104
FT Baltimore Orioles 4 - 0 Texas Rangers -112 +105
FT Pittsburgh Pirates 2 - 4 San Diego Padres -111 -111
FT Minnesota Twins 4 - 5 Oakland Athletics -106 -101
Sunday 30 July
FT Tampa Bay Rays 5 - 3 New York Yankees +145 -167
FT Los Angeles Angels 10 - 11 Toronto Blue Jays +105 -114
FT Cincinnati Reds 6 - 4 Miami Marlins -111 +106
FT Houston Astros 1 - 13 Detroit Tigers -115 +114
FT Colorado Rockies 10 - 6 Montreal Expos +100 -111
FT Kansas City Royals 5 - 3 Boston Red Sox +167 -169
FT Atlanta Braves 1 - 2 Phillies +125 -109
FT Cleveland Indians 1 - 3 Chicago White Sox -143 +134
FT Chicago Cubs 4 - 2 Milwaukee Brewers +102 -109
FT Diamondbacks 2 - 3 St. Louis Cardinals +115 -123
FT Baltimore Orioles 10 - 6 Texas Rangers -105 -116
AEI Minnesota Twins 5 - 6 Oakland Athletics +163 -137
FT New York Mets 1 - 9 Seattle Mariners +200 -244
FT Pittsburgh Pirates 7 - 1 San Diego Padres -152 +145
FT Colorado Rockies 1 - 3 Montreal Expos -110 -110
AEI Giants 2 - 3 Los Angeles Dodgers +145 -167

Let us know who you think will be traded and what the effects will be on the odds in the comment section below!

Category : Betting Picks

Tag : baseball , mlb , trade

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