New York Mets 2015 Season Preview
Odds To Win Division: +500
Odds To Win NL Pennant: 14/1
Odds To Win World Series: 28/1
Regular Season Win Total: 81.5
Most Significant Offseason Changes
Michael Cuddyer, RF
John Mayberry Jr., LF
Eric Young Jr., LF
Dana Eveland, RP
Jose Valverde, RP
Bobby Abreu, RF
Daisuke Matsuzaka, P
They’ll Be Successful If…
Matt Harvey makes a triumph return from injury and should be a monster for the Mets in 2015. The lineup will need some big numbers from its hitter in 2015. Matt Harvey, the prized pitcher of Queens is back and ready to lead the Mets. Before his injury in 2013, Harvey was having a superb season, with a miniscule ERA of 2.27 and a 9.6 strikeouts per 9 innings. With only 237.2 innings pitched in his Major League career, Harvey’s arm should recover well from surgery and expect a big season in 2015. David Wright, Lucas Duda and Curtis Granderson form a nice trio of hitters who have the potential to carry the Mets to success. Granderson had a subpar season in 2014, but has twice hit over 40 homers in his career (when playing for the cross town rival New York Yankees). The 7-time All-Star David Wright has been the center piece of the Mets organization for over a decade now. He may not be the elite third baseman he was in 2007 & 2008, but if he can stay healthy, he should lead the Mets with an above .300 batting average. Duda is the youngster in the group, but will likely have the best season. In 2014, Duda officially made the move from left fielder to first baseman and with it, his numbers jumped. With 30 homers and 92 RBI, Duda was the Mets most productive hitter in 2014. Expect him to replicate his success in 2015.
They’ll Be Unsuccessful If…
With Zach Wheeler (injured on March 16th), the Mets pitching staff has already taken a hefty blow. A quiet offseason in a loud market is often not the formula for success. Wheeler is expected to require Tommy John surgery and will miss the entire 2015 season. Slotted to be the number two pitcher in their rotation, the Mets will now need the 41 year old Bartolo Colon to continue to defy the effects of aging and Matt Harvey to have no rust after missing the entire 2014 season. The offseason featured a single signing of note, right fielder Michael Cuddyer. Outside of him and John Mayberry Jr., nothing, zilch, not even the signing of any veteran players to minor league contracts. In an offseason that featured a lot of high profile signings and record setting spending, the Mets seemed content to stick with a roster that produced a very average 79 wins, in 2014.
Fantasy Bargain: Travis D’Arnaud, C
The former top prospect of the Toronto Blue Jays should finally break into the conservation of best catchers in baseball this season. The young catcher, posted 22 doubles, 3 triples and 13 home runs in 2014. With his health improving, and strong plate vision for a young catcher (32 walks in 108 games), D’Arnaud will see an improvement in just about facet of his game in 2015. Injury concerns are his biggest drawback, but he has recovered from an assortment of injuries in the past and finally seems to be fully healthy.
Without much in terms of an offseason, the Mets are relying on their current roster to make a positive step forward in 2015. While they enter spring training with the talent to compete for a wild card berth in 2015, they are a team especially susceptible to injuries. With Wheeler already lost for the season, the Mets should still be able to crack 81 wins (and finish with a better record than the Yankees), but a wild card berth now seems unlikely.
Prediction: 3rd In NL East
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